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BASIS:
The value difference between the futures price and
the cash price of a commodity. Example: CBOT December
corn futures are worth $2.40. The corn bid delivered
to the elevator is $2.10. In this example the corn
basis delivered to the elevator is - 30Z. $2.40
minus $2.10 equals thirty under the December corn
futures.
BASIS
NARROWING:
When the cash price increases more than the increase
in the futures. Example: CBOT November bean futures
are up 3 cents on the day. The bean bid delivered
to the elevator is up 5 cents on the day. In this
example the basis narrowed 2 cents at the elevator.
Keep in mind that the basis can also narrow in a
lower market. Example: The bean futures go down
6 cents and the cash bid at the elevator is only
down 5 cents. In this example the basis narrowed
1 cent.
BASIS
RISK:
The potential loss in value that you may incur if
the basis widens, (if you are long the basis) or
narrows (if you are short the basis).
BASIS
TREND:
The movement of the basis in one direction for several
days or longer. The basis can develop a narrowing
trend when it continues to gain value faster than
the futures do. The basis can develop a widening
trend when it does not gain value as fast as the
futures do.
BASIS
WIDENING:
This is just the opposite of the basis narrowing.
Example: KCBOT wheat futures are up 4 cents. The
wheat bid delivered to the elevator is only up 1
cent. Therefore, the basis widened 3 cents. The
basis can also widen when the cash bid goes down
more than the futures do.
CARRYING
COST:
The actual cost of holding on to grain. This includes
interest, storage or shrink, quality deterioration,
as well as the lost opportunity of what the cash
proceeds from the sale of such grain could be netting
you. It is very important to know what your actual
carrying cost is so that you know where your actual
profit opportunity begins.
FUTURES
SPREAD:
The difference in price between futures contracts
of two different months in the same commodity. Example:
CBOT December corn futures are at $2.40 and the
CBOT March corn futures are at $2.47. In this example
the December vs. March corn spread is 7 cents.
LONG
THE BASIS:
When you own the cash commodity and have an offsetting
quantity of futures sold against it. Example: You
have 20,000 bushels of corn in the bin or in store
at the elevator that you own. You also have four
futures contracts, (20,000 bushels), sold at the
CBOT. In this example you are long the basis 20,000
bushels.
SHORT
THE BASIS:
When you have a sale contract in place for grain
that you have not yet harvested, and you have hedged
it by buying the futures. Example: You want to make
a sale contract right now for delivery in November
because you believe that the basis will widen as
harvest gets underway. Therefore, you make a "basis
only" sales contract now, locking in the November
basis bid, and sell an offsetting quantity of futures
against your sale.
John
Berry, Agricultural Marketing Agent
Penn State Cooperative Extension
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